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A Silver Bullet?

October 18, 2007

Check this video out. This gentleman breaks down the global warming debate into a simple 4×4 grid, with cause on the vert and response on the horiz. Interesting, but I’d like to hear what y’all think.

Also, check out his other videos, Patching Holes, where he answers to some critique.

PS:  Sorry about that “y’all” up there. I had a dream I was in Louisiana last night.

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6 Comments leave one →
  1. October 18, 2007 8:01 am

    It’s a sound argument, and I think his reasoning is essentially correct.

  2. October 18, 2007 2:25 pm

    This is no more than a rehash of Pascal’s Wager and a simplistic one to boot. Pascal used this same logic to argue in favor of belief in God. That this guy is using it for Global Warming is further evidence that belief in same requires a huge leap of faith.

  3. October 18, 2007 5:56 pm

    I think Pascal’s Wager can be useful in real-world discussions. Think of it like this: you are going to be late for a party and have the option of going through North Philly, thereby avoiding the wrath of your sister-in-law, but chancing getting shot. Or, you can take the safe route; you’ll definitely be late, but you are less likely to get shot.

    Well, in the case of making a real-world decision, Pascal’s Wager is a wise bet, unlike when it is applied to a philosophical question, i.e. “should I believe in god”.

    See, there are few scientists out ther that deny that the climate is warming, and if it continues unabated, there could be some negative consequences. The debate is now on whether or not it’s mankind’s fault, and the severity of the problem.

    In the presenters opinion, assuming the worst, droughts/famine/etc (like getting shot) is the safer bet.

    Even if it is Pascal’s Wager, the real-world application is, I think, valid.

  4. October 25, 2007 1:08 pm

    The problem is that he’s being overly absolutist without considering the tradeoffs.

  5. October 26, 2007 8:48 pm

    The whole point of the exercise was to treat it as a best or worst case scenario.

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